What are the chances?

[rudd]

Sitting listing to Town on radio playing single card games.
6th hand of elevens, well shuffled and first four cards dealt

 

[GeoffW]

four fours in any order.
If it is the case, then it is simply multiplication of successive probabilities:
(52/4)*(51/3)*(50/2)*49 = 270,725/1 odds

 

[Godber]

What Geoff ? said.

 

[bluemack]

Yeah,i got it to that as well.

 

[spanky]

However, the odds would shorten if the cards were together in the previous hand, since this would no longer be a truly random process.

 

[robert d]

four fours in any order.
If it is the case, then it is simply multiplication of successive probabilities:
(52/4)*(51/3)*(50/2)*49 = 270,725/1 odds

270/724 Geof

 

[rudd]

I doubt it will happen again then!
Played about 30 hand and about 10 of an advanced solitare game (there are approx 500 known forms of the game) and about five games of clocks - not one win!
Town game ended nil nil also.